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Weather Outlooks

Severe weather, drought, and upper-air analysis

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center · Updated ~4× daily

Day 1 Outlook

Valid next 24 hours

NOAA / SPC
SPC day1 convective outlook

Categorical risk areas: TSTM → Marginal → Slight → Enhanced → Moderate → High. Colors indicate the probability and severity of organized severe thunderstorms.

SPC Fire Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center · Updated ~2× daily

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Valid next 24 hours

NOAA / SPC
SPC day1 fire weather outlook

Critical Fire Weather areas indicate where low humidity, strong winds, and dry fuels combine to create elevated wildfire spread potential. Elevated = marginal conditions; Critical = high risk; Extremely Critical = extreme fire behavior likely.

500mb Heights / Jet Stream

Weather Prediction Center · Updated ~4× daily

5-Day 500mb Forecast

Upper-air pattern — contours show geopotential height, arrows indicate flow

NOAA / WPC
5-day 500mb geopotential height forecast

The 500mb level (~18,000 ft) represents the mid-troposphere. Troughs (dips) favor storm development; ridges (bumps) bring dry, settled weather.

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast

NOAA Weather Prediction Center · Updated several times daily

Day 1 QPF

Accumulated precipitation — 24h

NOAA / WPC
WPC 24h quantitative precipitation forecast

QPF shows the total liquid-equivalent precipitation (rain + snow melt) expected over the period. The WPC QPF is the official US precipitation forecast used by emergency managers.

CPC Extended Outlooks

Climate Prediction Center · Updated Mon/Wed/Fri

6–10 Day Temperature Outlook

Probability of above/below normal conditions

NOAA / CPC
CPC 6-10 day temperature outlook

Colors show the probability of above-normal (orange/brown for temp; green for precip) or below-normal (blue for temp; tan for precip) conditions. White = equal chances.

US Drought Monitor

University of Nebraska / USDA / NOAA · Updated every Tuesday

Current Drought Conditions

Valid 2026-04-28

USDM
US Drought Monitor map

D0 = Abnormally Dry · D1 = Moderate · D2 = Severe · D3 = Extreme · D4 = Exceptional

Data: NOAA Storm Prediction Center · NOAA Weather Prediction Center · US Drought Monitor · NOAA/NWS WPC QPF